Staff Data Scientist, Forecasting-Finance at Airbnb

This role is designed for a heavyweight quantitative leader who thrives at the intersection of statistical modeling and financial strategy. The ideal candidate

Work type: onsite

Location: United States

Salary: $194,000 – $240,000/yr

Type: Full-time

Summary

This role is designed for a heavyweight quantitative leader who thrives at the intersection of statistical modeling and financial strategy. The ideal candidate is a "self-directed practitioner" with at least 9 years of experience (or 6 with a PhD) in high-stakes tech environments. You should be an expert in building end-to-end forecasting systems—not just standalone models—with a deep understanding of how to translate complex data into reliable revenue and cancellation drivers. The compensation is highly competitive, ranging from $194,000 to $240,000 plus equity, bonuses, and travel credits. While listed as "On-site" in the metadata, the description confirms it is **US-Remote Eligible**, offering significant flexibility. This is a high-visibility position where your work directly influences the financial core of a global platform, making it perfect for someone who values "decision-relevant" data over theoretical modeling. **You might be a good fit if you:** * Have extensive experience with **R, Python, and Stan**, specifically for production-level forecasting. * Are comfortable owning the entire pipeline, from data engineering (SQL) to automated backtesting and monitoring. * Excel at stakeholder management and can explain statistical trade-offs to finance and product executives. * Prioritize model reliability, interpretability, and business impact over academic sophistication.

Job Description

Airbnb was born in 2007 when two hosts welcomed three guests to their San Francisco home, and has since grown to over 5 million hosts who have welcomed over 2 billion guest arrivals in almost every country across the globe. Every day, hosts offer unique stays and experiences that make it possible for guests to connect with communities in a more authentic way.

The Community You Will Join:

Airbnb has become a global platform that connects travelers and hosts from over 34,000 cities. As such, it has collected a diverse set of numerical, textual, visual, and unstructured data, which can be mined for insights that will propel our community and product forward. We are looking for a talented Staff Data Scientist to join our Forecasting team, focusing on Revenue & Cancellation modeling.

The Difference You Will Make:

We are seeking a Staff Data Scientist to join our forecasting team, operating at the intersection of statistical forecasting and financial strategy. The role focuses on owning forecasting within the revenue pipeline and hierarchy, including model selection, system design, automation, and ongoing performance management. We are looking for a self-directed practitioner who can reason about evolving business dynamics, make principled tradeoffs, and ensure forecasts remain reliable and decision relevant as the business changes.

A Typical Day:

Own the design, operation, and evolution of end to end forecasting systems for revenue drivers, including data pipelines, model components, validation logic, and automated delivery into planning and financial workflows.

Select, adapt, and maintain forecasting approaches appropriate to each problem context, balancing accuracy, stability, interpretability, and operational cost rather than optimizing for modeling sophistication alone.

Engage in stakeholder management, effectively communicating with various teams and levels within the organization to gather input and share insights.

Drive the process of extracting actionable insights from complex data sets to influence business growth and strategic decision-making.

Continuously improve forecasting infrastructure and processes to reduce manual intervention, shorten cycle time, and increase trust in outputs.

Your Expertise:

9+ years of industry experience in a fast-paced tech environment with a BS/Master’s in a technical field related to mathematics, statistics, machine learning, or 6+ years of relevant experience and a PhD in similar fields.

Extensive industry experience applying forecasting in production settings, with demonstrated ownership of forecasting pipelines or decision systems, not just standalone models.

Expertise in SQL and relational databases, along with strong fluency in programming languages such as R, Python, and Stan.

Experience building automated modeling workflows, including backtesting frameworks, model validation, scheduled retraining, and performance monitoring.

Familiarity with version control, reproducibility, and data quality practices required for operating models in regulated or high visibility financial contexts.

Comfort working across disciplines and making tradeoffs between statistical rigor, engineering complexity, and business constraints.

This role is ideal for candidates with strong technical judgment who want to own how forecasts are built, operated, and used at the financial core of the business. The position emphasizes end-to-end forecasting systems, from data and models through automation, monitoring, and decision support, rather than isolated modeling work. If you are motivated by making forecasts reliable, interpretable, and consequential for real financial decisions, we encourage you to apply.

Your Location:

This position is US - Remote Eligible. The role may include occasional work at an Airbnb office or attendance at offsites, as agreed to with your manager. While the position is Remote Eligible, you must live in a state where Airbnb, Inc. has a registered entity. [Click here for the up-to-date list of excluded states. This list is continuously evolving, so please check back with us if the state you live in is on the exclusion list](https://careers.airbnb.com/). If your position is employed by another Airbnb entity, your recruiter will inform you what states you are eligible to work from.

Our Commitment To Inclusion & Belonging:

Airbnb is committed to working with the broadest talent pool possible. We believe diverse ideas foster innovation and engagement, and allow us to attract creatively-led people, and to develop the best products, services and solutions. All qualified individuals are encouraged to apply.

We strive to also provide a disability inclusive application and interview process. If you are a candidate with a disability and require reasonable accommodation in order to submit an application, please contact us at: [reasonableaccommodations@airbnb.com](mailto:reasonableaccommodations@airbnb.com). Please include your full name, the role you’re applying for and the accommodation necessary to assist you with the recruiting process.

We ask that you only reach out to us if you are a candidate whose disability prevents you from being able to complete our online application.

How We'll Take Care of You:

Our job titles may span more than one career level. The actual base pay is dependent upon many factors, such as: training, transferable skills, work experience, business needs and market demands. The base pay range is subject to change and may be modified in the future. This role may also be eligible for bonus, equity, benefits, and Employee Travel Credits.

Pay Range
$194,000—$240,000 USD

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